Best Bets 15th July 2020

Midweek racing comes around again, and although it is not the strongest edition of Wednesday afternoon gallops action, there is still plenty of winners to be found. The heavens are expected to open in Sydney this week, and with the track at Warwick Farm already rated a heavy 9 before the rain has arrived, we could be dealing with a serious bog track. A rare country meeting at Cranbourne takes centre stage in Victoria, while racing comes out of Gawler, Eagle Farm and Belmont as well. Also, don’t forget the final Hong Kong meeting for the season takes place at Happy Valley tonight. PlayUp form analyst Lewis Willoughby has outlined his five best of the day below.

Cranbourne R4 #4 Boomstock $2.70 at PlayUp – This super consistent Tavistock gelding is coming off a very impressive win last start, putting his rivals away by close to 3L on the line, and it was an ever-extending margin. Up in grade here, as would expect off a last start victory, but meets a very average BM70 field. More, he is sticking to the exact same track and distance as the last start win, and will get conditions to suit again in the soft range. Barrier one is not an ideal draw, but with any luck getting clear running I expect him to be much too strong for this field. Selections: 4-5-6-1

Cranbourne R5 #11 Wairere Falls $4.60 at PlayUp – This Waller-trained gelding surprised most people when he lobbed to win last start racing fresh over the 1200m. The form out of that Geelong maiden win has stacked up nicely, with second place getter Toyetic since coming out and dominating in another maiden race. Second up here out to the 1400m looks suitable, and has clearly returned a nice horse this preparation. It’s always difficult to win again straight out of maiden grade into benchmark level, but this field looks limited, and I think Wairere Falls has the upside to be very competitive here. Selections: 11-3-2-13

Cranbourne R7 #13 Ling Ling $5.00 at PlayUp & #10 Salty Kisses $6.00 at PlayUp – I’m planning on backing both horses here if their prices are right. Ling Ling comes here first up to the 1000m, and looked good winning a recent jump out in sharp time. Only a lightly raced 3yo, she managed to beat Finesse Tess earlier this year when racing fresh, and that horse since ran well in Saturday grade on the weekend. Ling Ling also has form behind Ms Catherine, who is a group level winner. Should look to roll forward from barrier 10 and be competitive. Salty Kisses is the saver bet in the race, third up ready to peak here coming off a sound effort behind Bless Her last start, who has since won in Saturday grade at Caulfield, so the form stacks up. With a more economical run today with cover, she can be right in the finish. Selections 13/10-11-6

Cranbourne R8 #2 Grinzinger Allee $1.70 at PlayUp Coming off a very good run in the Silverbowl Final at Flemington two Saturdays ago, running very boldy first up from a freshen over the mile distance. Much fitter for that effort, and steps out to a desired trip here. This is also obviously a big drop in grade, and does not look terribly weighted in this bm64 event. Needs a touch of luck from barrier 11, but should be ultra competitive here and justify the short quote.

Eagle Farm R6 #3 Rock Beat $2.20 at PlayUp – This horse has most likely one of the most enticing looking stats sheet of any horse going around in the entire country today. Comes here to this bm85 event over 1000m first up, with a currently unbeaten fresh record of 3:3-0-0. One of those wins was at this exact same track and distance, which brings up the next stat of a current unbeaten record at the Eagle Farm 1000m trip from two starts. First attempt at this benchmark level, but has a very encouraging rider booking of Michael Cahill, and I can see him winning here today.


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