EPL Tips: Matchday 36

As usual, there are some tasty ties in the EPL this weekend. Norwich and Watford will definitely be playing second-tier football next season, but the third relegation spot remains difficult to call. At the top, City and Liverpool continue to go toe-to-toe for the title and there’s still only six points between Chelsea in third and Manchester United in sixth. Let’s take a look at some potentially profitable punts.

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Our EPL tips come to us courtesy of Ben Smith and the blokes over at My Betting Sites Australia. Head there for in-depth bookmaker reviews, expert betting site comparisons and to find all the best betting sites in Australia.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United: Over 2.5 goals – $1.85 at PlayUp

You’ll be hard pressed to find a Manchester United fan that views this season as anything other than a disappointment. Any hopes of silverware were extinguished as early as mid-March and they still need points to be sure of Europa League qualification.

Ralf Rangnick’s Red Devils travel to the Amex Stadium having kept just one clean sheet in their last ten Premier League away matches (even that was against the division’s worst team, Norwich City). 

Brighton, for their part, do not exactly boast the league’s meanest defense – nor are they shy in front of goal.

Four of their last five EPL matches have featured more than 2.5 goals and while they have little to play for other than pride at this stage in the season, their expansive style should land them plenty of chances against United. 

In this context, we think 1.85 looks a good price for over 2.5 goals. 

Burnley vs Aston Villa: Burnley win – $2.90 at PlayUp

Burnley have been enjoying a pretty sensational new manager bounce since ditching Sean Dyche and entrusting Michael Jackson with first-team management responsibilities on an interim basis.

Jackson is the first Burnley manager to win three of his first four league games in charge for over thirty years and more points in the bag this weekend would make them long shots for relegation.

Last week’s home match against Norwich couldn’t have come at a better time for Aston Villa. The Villains strolled to a 2-0 victory – their first win in six – and sent the Canaries down to the Championship in the process. 

Realistically, if not yet mathematically, Villa now are safe from relegation. so we think in-form Burnley – with everything still to play for – look good at 2.90. 

Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Over 3.5 cards – $2.20 at PlayUp

Just when you think you’ve seen it all in football, Real Madrid pop up to prove you wrong. Another season without a Champions League trophy will be hard to take for Pep and City’s owners, even before you take into account the crazy manner of their midweek defeat.

The EPL title is still City’s to lose and they will be determined not to let their European disappointment affect their domestic objectives. 

Newcastle United may see this as an opportunity to catch City at less than their brilliant best. Some may call it ‘anti-football’, but breaking up the game and frustrating the opposition is one of the better tactics for an underdog to use at the Etihad.

We reckon the Magpies will seek to take advantage of City’s mentally bruising week and chip away at Pep’s men with some cynical play. City, for their part, are no strangers to a tactical foul or two, so we think a cheeky punt on over 3.5 cards at 2.20 could be a winner.


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