AFL TBETTA SATURDAY
DFS • Fantasy

Draftstars AFL 23 Saturday Round 6 Tips

Apr 21, 2023
10 Min Read

With an extended round of AFL with Anzac Day on Tuesday, we just have the three games to deal with on Saturday.

With the mega 5-games coming up in May, now is the time to take advantage of the small player pool on Draftstars. Tbetta is back with another Stargazing preview with the poor West Coast Eagles being picked on…

Before we look at Saturday, check out our educational piece – How to Win on Draftstars with limited entries. Keep this in mind when building your Draftstars lineups!

How to win with Limited Entries

MAIN CONTESTS:
$75,000 Main ($15 entry, 125 max)
$10,000 High Roller ($150 entry, 3 max)
$5,000 Fiver ($5 entry, 50 max)
$3,000 Mini ($2 entry, 15 max)
$2,500 Buck Hunter ($1 entry, 100 max)
$2,000 Micro ($0.50 entry, 100 max)


AFL Saturday

SATELLITE:

PORT vs WCE – Adelaide Oval: Fine.

GWS vs BRIS – Manuka Oval: Fine.

GEEL vs SYD – GMHBA Stadium: Fine.

 

INNER CORE:

FWD
Zane Trew ($6,000 MID/FWD) and Ollie Lord ($6,000 FWD/DEF) are the basement-priced youngsters available for us this week, but I’m not sold on either as reliable core options. Trew will get CBA’s for West Coast given their swollen injury list, but that didn’t help him much at AFL level last year where he scored 46 and 27 with roughly 40% CBA action. Lord is a horses-for-courses selection as a replacement for Dixon, and the young KPP has already shown his concerningly low floor with a score of 12 in SANFL a fortnight ago.

As has been the case all year, it’s slim pickings in the sub-$10k bracket up forward. Aaron Francis ($6,620 FWD/DEF) makes his Sydney debut but would’ve liked a more forgiving opposition first up. Jed McEntee ($7,090 FWD) hasn’t reached his potential at AFL level just yet, but a softball against West Coast is a great way to build off last week’s 59. Ultimately though, I’d rather pay up a little bit and target Zac Bailey ($9,480 FWD) after a slow start to the year tanked his price-tag, hoping that he has a day out in his 100th.

Thankfully, we have some much-needed safety once we move up to the 5-digit salaries. Tom Hawkins ($10,890 FWD) and Jeremy Cameron ($15,340 FWD) are well positioned given that Sydney don’t have a single key defender in their squad, while Callan Ward, Zak Butters, Toby Greene and Dayne Zorko are all priced below their best and could represent value.

MID
Harry Rowston will attract ownership given his basement price and guaranteed CBA’s, but I like the idea of sliding up slightly to Matt Roberts ($7,290 MID) – I think the field will undervalue him due to 3 sub-affected scores already this year. Last week’s 64 is a much better indicator, as is his 0.73 PPM overall this season. Xavier O’Halloran ($7,960 MID) didn’t capitalise on his hot start last week with a solid 66, but the wing role was locked in and he might have some extra midfield responsibilities with Tom Green spending a week on the sidelines.

It’s a mixed bag in the midrange as per usual, but there’s definitely some jubes in amongst the spearmint leaves. Jarrod Berry ($10,690 MID) was the tactical sub last week but was on track for 90 before his early clock-off – he’s great value if he can dodge the vest this week. Travis Boak’s ($11,550 MID) price is starting to drop thanks to a new wing role, but a soft match-up against the Eagles is his chance to upswing. Hugh McCluggage, Harry Perryman, Mark Blicavs and Ollie Wines should all be strongly considered in the $12k-$13k region.

As for the Premium crowd, I’ll find it hard to pass up Chad Warner ($13,880 MID) after correcting some uncharacteristic scores with 101 and 109 in the last fortnight, as well as GWS stud Stephen Coniglio ($14,660 MID) in Green’s absence.

DEF
Luke Foley ($7,430 DEF) will see plenty of the footy in defense this week and with Shannon Hurn still out, there’s a chance he can get involved in the kick-to-kick on slow plays. He had a couple of scores in the 80’s and a ton last year, so there’s upside at this price. Jack Bowes ($9,510 DEF) had an off day against the Eagles thanks to a counter-intuitive DvP quirk, but was churning out 80’s previously.

Mitch Duncan ($15,440 DEF) struggled with the same awkward West Coast puzzle, but a Sydney Swans side with an undersized forward line could mean a swift return to his regular potency as a distributor.

RUC
Thank the Lord that Port Adelaide mixed up their ruck division by bringing in Brynn Teakle ($6,570 RUC), because the ruck line was looking mighty rough otherwise.

Jon Ceglar ($11,200 RUC) with Mark Blicavs ($12,830 MID/RUC) still hanging around is a bit of a gamble at that elevated salary, while Oscar McInerney’s ($11,660 RUC) scores of 80 and 95 without Fort this year is a flimsy premise when you look into who he actually rucked against in those games.

 

BLACK HOLES:

Tim Kelly ($15,390 MID)

This price-tag is absolutely ludicrous. Tim Kelly comes in as the 5th-most expensive player on this slate – the same Tim Kelly that has hit the 105-point threshold just once in his past 11 games. To add insult to injury, he comes up against Port this week – the hardest club to score fantasy points against overall, and the 2nd-worst match-up for inside midfielders specifically. Throw in the possibility of a Willem Drew tag as the only capable Eagles midfielder left standing, and we’re officially in the full fade zone.

Oscar Allen ($11,860 FWD)

Kelly’s teammate obviously cops the same oppressive Port, but also cops a DvP battering as the 2nd-hardest opposition in the land for key forwards. Oscar Allen has been a rare shining light for West Coast this season, kicking multiple goals in every match so far – including bags of 3 (96 fantasy points), 3 (89) and 4 (96) in his last few showings. Unfortunately for Allen and his DFS suitors, that’s unlikely to repeat against the rock solid Power defense in the pressure cooker that is Adelaide Oval.

Tom Stewart ($13,950 DEF)

I really liked the way the pieces were falling for a potential Tom Stewart ceiling game this weekend… until the Swans named Ryan Clarke. While the result clearly didn’t go their way in the Grand Final overall last season, one win they did have that day was Clarke’s forward tag on Stewart, who was ineffectual for just 62 fantasy points. Sydney don’t have a lot of cards to play with their lopsided injury list, but this is one ace that Horse Longmire holds up his sleeve and I think he’ll play it from the opening bounce.

STAR SIGNS:

Nessun Padre Verdi

Only one midfielder in the entire league (Lachie Neale) has averaged more CBA’s than Tom Green’s 87% this season, which means that GWS has a huge midfield void to fill against the Lions. Harry Perryman ($12,580 MID) has timed his return perfectly to soak up a big chunk of those reps, but his cup will definitely runneth over. I expect Harry Rowston ($6,000 MID) will see plenty of centre bounces, but is there a chance that Callan Ward ($12,640 MID/FWD) can sneak back into the CBA rotation from his half forward flank for one week only?

Lycett And Regret

The former Eagle has been so out of form this year that he basically got fired in the 3rd quarter last week, which means that he misses out on a lay-up against his former teammates. Welcome to Brynn Teakle Chalk Day, where tradition dictates, we celebrate by whacking him into our Draftstars line-ups at just $6,570 against the softest ruck match-up on planet Earth. “Test” flashed his scoring ability with that 86-point score against Richmond in Round 21 last year, and let’s just say that Bailey J Williams is no Toby Nankervis.

Home Sweet Home

The Connor Rozee rollercoaster is a wild ride on Draftstars, but there’s no denying that the heights are both dizzying and profitable. It’s too early in the season to be drawing concrete conclusions from our limited data set, but I couldn’t help but notice that Rozee’s scores have followed his Flybuys redemptions so far this season.

With scores of just 69 and 81 on the road compared to 95, 113 and 108 in South Australia, I’d be surprised if that trend didn’t continue against an undercooked West Coast this Saturday afternoon. It certainly paid off in the corresponding fixture last year, where Rozee racked up 31 touches for his 119 fantasy points and 2 Brownlow Votes – at the happy hunting ground that is Adelaide Oval, of course.

 

GALAXY CLUSTER:

Geelong – FWD, DEF Targets

Sydney is in a world of hurt vertically, with all of Tom Hickey, Joel Amartey, Lance Franklin, The McCartin Brothers, Dane Rampe and Ben Reid unavailable for selection in the Grand Final Rematch. St Kilda’s forward line height woes have given us the blueprint for DEF stacking against undersized opponents, while the Swans somehow have to contain both Tom Hawkins and Jeremy Cameron without their 3 first-choice key defenders on deck. Cash in on their misery.

Port – FWD, MID, RUC Stack

Another week, another slate where we stack West Coast’s fortuitous opponents with this same formula. While the Eagles are now the clear worst match-up for defenders of all shapes and sizes, that’s where the DvP red flags end. Smash those Power stacks, especially with plenty of salary relief like Jason Horne-Francis, Will Drew and Xavier Duursma available around the $10k mark to give us plenty of possible permutations to peruse.

Brisbane – MID Targets

Given that Brisbane have scored the fewest fantasy points overall this year, I’d be taking a more surgical approach with this recommendation. I personally see the loss of Tom Green as game-shaping, as along with the departures of bulls Tim Taranto and Jacob Hopper over the off-season, GWS are now looking at a serious deficiency in the contested footy in Round 6. Lachie Neale and Josh Dunkley are the obvious targets given their playstyles and high CBA numbers, but I’d be looking at matching them up with lesser Lions in Jarrod Berry, Will Ashcroft and Hugh McCluggage too.

 

MULTIVERSE THEORY:

In a parallel universe:

  • Bailey J Williams fails to recover from hamstring tightness, giving Brynn Teakle the even dreamier match-up of either the would-be debutant Harry Barnett or an underdone Callum Jamieson…
  • Toby Greene has his yearly injury-crisis-move-into-the-midfield and reminds everyone why he was drafted as a ball-winning midfielder all those years ago…
  • Perryman’s return from injury is simplified, with the GWS coaching staff sending him to Lachie Neale in response to last week’s perfect 10 Coaches Votes and 176 SuperCoach points…

 

Tbetta.

Ready to go? Draftstars multi game Saturday slate will close at 1.45pm AEDT. ENTER NOW!

Chances are you’re about to lose. For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

Page 1 of 1

THINK. IS THIS A BET YOU REALLY WANT TO PLACE?

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.