Weekend Best Bets

It is Finals Day at Flemington with some competitive racing to look forward to in Melbourne on Saturday.

Randwick stages the metro action in Sydney and across the two meetings we have four Saturday runners who stand out.


Race 5

The Patrick Payne-trained RUBISAKI ($2.20 TopBetta) looked a standout. She smashed the clock on debut at Seymour, and came to Flemington last start and was $9.00 into $4.40 and was winning the race a long way out. She got a beautiful run in transit and exploded away once clear at the 300m. She has shown she can win races off a slow tempo and a fast tempo and looks extremely dynamic. She is in the right stable, as trainer Patrick Payne is currently airborne. He has trained 15 winners from his last 50 runners with a positive ROI of 67.3 percent. She has options from barrier five and barring bad luck, she should be going very close.

Race 6

Most of these horses looks pretty well exposed, with 10 of the 12 runners in the race coming through either the Caulfield race over 2000m last weekend or one of two races at Sandown in the past three weeks. I don’t rate the form from those races. Dogmatic, Predecessor, Igniter and Peace Brother all look limited from the Caulfield lead up and I’m looking for some different form with NOT A SINGLE CENT ($4.80 TopBetta). He ran well first-up here at Flemington behind Orcein and put in another good performance again behind Declares War. He stepped up from 2000m to 2400m third-up in the Queensland Derby and I thought he was finishing off nicely into sixth behind Mr Quickie. I thought his run last start at Randwick was forgivable, as he was taking on the older horses on a Heavy 10 track and didn’t have the smoothest run in transit. He will enjoy getting back to Flemington and he has the perfect platform for 2500m.


Race 6

The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-prepared DR DRILL ($2.40 TopBetta) heads north following two impressive runs in Melbourne including a last start victory over One More Try and Masculino who subsequently finished 2nd and 1st respectively at Caulfield last Saturday. They went slow early in that event and Dr Drill had to use a lot of energy from the 1000m to the 200m which saw him peak late and run 11.92 for his final split after running 10.68 and 11.24 for his two previous splits. With four runs under his belt now, he should be at peak fitness and I’d expect him to be much stronger through the line this time.

Race 7

The James Cummings-trained DEITY ($2.90 TopBetta) put in an eye-catching run first-up as she went 6.9 lengths above BM, and she can be followed here. The Exceed And Excel filly was narrowly beaten by Spiritual Pursuit and Invictus Salute who had fitness on their sides while Deity knocked up in the final 100m on the testing Heavy track. The booking of jockey Mathew Cahill looked an indication that last start was a warm-up run, and Blake Shinn now goes aboard from barrier 5. Admittedly, she meets Invictus Salute worse at the weights, but over 1000m, de advantage will be minimal while Deity has drawn better and has far more upside.