Weekend Best Bets

Caulfield Guineas Day is arguably Australian racing’s greatest day, ask the average punter and you will get a good debate for just how highly this day is rated among racing fans. Four Group 1 races and an Everest entry event will have punters flocking to Caulfield where they can expect over 50,000 people to walk through the doors.

Race 5: Prince of Arran makes his Australian return here in the Herbert Power, following a similar prep as to 2018 when he used this to launch to Melbourne Cup where he ran third. Was decent in his last start but this is essentially a new campaign, good each-way bet ($8 ClassicBet). Steel Prince has finished off well in his first two starts of the campaign and will be peaking for this. Always gives his heart and will be popular amongst punters and has never missed the quinella at this distance. Qafila will be hoping to find his SA Derby form where he comfortably beat Mr Quickie.

Race 6: Flit will start favourite here, she was unlucky in the Prelude when she just couldn’t find a gap at the right time. Attacked line very hard behind Libertini previous start and will be primed for this. Lyre will look to swoop from deep as always, came home in a flash in Prelude against the pattern of the day. Has been building well towards this and has plenty of class. Great price ($5.00 Classicbet). Acting led all the way in the Prelude and looked superb, track suited his style and helped hold off the chasing pack. She won’t be challenged for the lead.

Race 7: Avilius arrives here as the class horse, was superb in last win and is hitting his stride. Run second up was huge coming from wide! Is hard to see him getting beat if he is at his best. Homesman will pose the biggest threat, he has been terrific this campaign. Was far to good at MV two starts back and was enormous in Underwood running wide all the way and just missing. Gailo Chop worked too hard first-up at the front – you can forget that start. Will be primed for this after a good second-up performance and will provide terrific value ($11.00 ClassicBet). Black Heart Bart was incredible last start winning the Underwood, hard ask for him to back it up but who knows? Gatting was disappointing last start following on from his over Mystic Journey prior, a wide draw won’t help here but has shown class. Danceteria was good behind European superstar Enable two starts back, gains massive respect from that.

Race 8: Dalasan is the class horse here, was in a position to win last start but didn’t kick (jockey change as a result). Barrier 18 will be tough and trainer has said they won’t be going back, will be hoping for luck. Alligator Blood is unbeaten and the win in the Prelude was superb. Untried at the distance but no evidence to suggest that there will be any issues. Super Seth ran race-fastest final 200m in the Prelude after being checked (11.28 sec). Is great each-way value here ($9.50 Classicbet).

Race 9: Night’s Watch had trialled terrifically leading into this prep, was good in the Makybe finding the line quite well. Can be hard to trust but at this price ($7.00 ClassicBet) he is worth a look. Princess Jenni was commanding in victory last start at MV. Following same prep as last campaign, decent return followed by big 2nd up win and then onto Group 1 win. Amphitrite returned terrifically carrying 59kg, they were too sharp for her over 1400m last start. She will love the mile but hasn’t won for a while.

Race 10: Trekking was no match for Nature Strip over 1000m, no disgrace in that but did run on well from the car park. Will like the 1100m better and easier opposition will be beneficial. Ball of Muscle brings great value here ($8.50 ClassicBet) and will take the lead. Showed little fight last time but didn’t seem himself. Forgive. Booker has found himself in some tricky spots this campaign and hasn’t been able to find a way out of them. Doesn’t mind the track and loves the distance. Bons Away beat home Trekking in the Moir, two runs before that probably should have saluted but should be right in this.

*All odds correct at time of writing.